Computational Aspect of
Bayes' Revised Probability

The column matrix is the prior probabilities regarding the state of nature, while the other is the row-wise reliability matrix.

Enter the data and then click on "Compute"

 
Prior Reliability Matrix
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Expected Probability Vector
from the expert

Posterior Probabilities


The results are the expected probability from the expert's prediction, and the probability matrix contains the column-wise posterior probabilities, respectively.

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Probabilistic Modeling: Decision Analysis with Applications