Computational Aspect of
Bayes' Revised Probability

The column matrix is the prior probabilities regarding the state of nature, while the other is the row-wise reliability matrix.

Enter the data and then click on "Compute"

Prior Reliability Matrix


Expected Probability Vector
from the expert

Posterior Probabilities

The results are the expected probability from the expert's prediction, and the probability matrix contains the column-wise posterior probabilities, respectively.



Back to
Probabilistic Modeling: Decision Analysis with Applications